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PVC supply structure to change seriously in Russia in 2011

July 27/2010

MOSCOW (MRC) -- After the launch of PVC-S production capacities in Kalush in 2011 the structure of resin supply is going to change seriously in the Russian market - according to MRC "PVC in Russia - 2010" Annual report.

PVC supply structure to change severely in Russia in 2011


Depending on a strategy of Kalush PVC sales, working models of all current market leaders including UTC, Sayanskhimplast and Chinese resin importers will change. If LUKOIL switches to contracts with the largest converters, Russian PVC producers will be forced to increase the share of spot sales. Then PVC-S supply from Sayansk and possibly from Volgograd might become the most vulnerable.


According to Sergey Karaichentsev, MRC Analytics Director, "domestic producers aren't interested in exporting their resin as exports mean only losses today. The Turkish spot market is on average USD 150/mt cheaper than the Russian one. The Indian market is controlled by Asian companies (firstl of all, LG Chem). Exports of Sayanskkhimplast's PVC to China as it was in 2001 are no more possible today: Chinese acetylene-based PVC-S is cheaper than Russian resin. Contrariwise, Russian PVC producers might be forced to ask the Government to implement restrictions against imports from non-CIS states".


More detailed analysis of PVC processing capacities and consumption by sectors, markets, types of finished goods and converters is available in MRC "PVC in Russia - 2010" Annual report.

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