MOSCOW (MRC) -- Despite a serious slump in demand, Russian PVC producers kept a high level of capacity utilization in January. Producers are forming additional stocks in anticipation of a seasonal increase in demand and decrease in imports, according to MRC ScanPlast.
January is the lowest month of the year in terms of demand. However, Russian producers of polyvinyl chloride (PVC) kept high operational rates. Last month the total output of unblended PVC (suspension and emulsion) in Russia made 58,500 tonnes. The high level of capacity utilization has remained since October 2012. In winter months (the period of low demand) high operational rates account for the desire of Russian producers to form additional PVC inventories in anticipation of a seasonal increase in demand, reduction of imports and shutdown of PVC production at Sibur-Neftekhim.
Last month, the output of PVC made 56,600 tonnes. All Russian producers actually retained indices of the resin output at the level of December. Sayanskkhimplast produced more than 26,000 tonnes, Kaustik (Sterlitamak) - about 19,200 tonnes, Kaustik (Volgograd) and Sibur-Neftekhim produced 8,000 tonnes and 3,100 tonnes, respectively. In 2013, the further increase in PVC production is expected at Sayanskkhimplast (it plans to raise production up to 280,000 tonnes this year) and at Kaustik (Sterlitamak) - in 2012 the company increased its output up to 220,000 tpa).
Meantime, Sibur-Neftekhim (Sibur group) plans to completely stop the production of PVC in April 2013. Back in July 2012, the management company SIBUR announced a phased shutdown of chlorine production at a former plant Caprolactam. The annual capacity of PVC production at Sibur-Neftekhim makes 42,000 tonnes. In the first quarter of 2014, the launch of PVC production is expected at PVC complex RusVinyl (the joint venture of Sibur and Belgium's Solvay) with the capacity of 300,000 tpa.
In September 2012, PVC production was shut at Karpatneftehim (Lukoil group) in Ukraine. The nominal capacity of the plant allowed to produce up to 300,000 tpa of suspension PVC. Last year, imports of the Ukrainian resin made 67,600 tonnes. This year PVC producers from the U.S. and China are unlikely to be able to fully compensate for the lack of Ukrainian resins in the Russian market.
Also, this year, Russian companies have had limited export quotas of PVC from the U.S. Limited quotas in January-February were due to scheduled outages for maintenance at Formosa and Georgia Gulf's facilities. But it is possible that the quotas for the Russian market will be also limited after the planned shutdowns. The domestic PVC market in the United States began to recover, and local producers reduced their exports share in the production from 38.4% in 2011 to 37.2% in 2012. In 2012, the total volumes of import of PVC from the U.S. to Russia amounted to 192,000 tonnes, down 20% year-on-year.
Though PVC makers from the north of China increased their production capacity last year, there is still a bottleneck in the supply of acetylene PVC - limited rolling-stock. Many Russian companies report that they have not been shipped the resin as per December contracts yet.
MRC