MOSCOW (MRC) -- Heritage's main raw material, polyethylene, is derived from natural gas. As the US ramps up production of gas released from underground shale formations, output of polyethylene is expected to soar too, creating the potential for lower prices, according to Hydrocarbonprocessing with reference to Dow Jones Newswires.
"I think it's our duty to use this gift of shale gas to rebuild our industrial infrastructure," says Jim Morris, a bluff Texan who serves as chief operating officer of privately owned Heritage Bag Co., which makes plastic trash bags.
There's just one problem: Heritage and other US users of polyethylene -- makers of plastic bags, toys, housewares and myriad other items -- aren't benefiting yet. They may not benefit for years and can't be sure it will fundamentally change the economics of their businesses.
The price of polyethylene in the US has generally risen over the past few years. Polyethylene makers, such as ExxonMobil and Dow Chemical, are enjoying lower costs because higher natural gas production increases the supply of ethane, a component of natural gas used to make polyethylene. Instead of passing on lower costs to their customers, however, they are reporting fatter profit margins.
First-half earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization in Dow's performance plastics division, which makes polyethylene, were up 33% from a year earlier.
Mr. Morris argues that Dow and other chemical makers should try to ensure that the shale boom will lead to more US output of finished plastic goods, such as the trash bags made by Heritage, rather than just more exports of polyethylene to his overseas rivals.
In recent years, polyethylene prices have been higher in the US than in Asia, where big chemical companies from both the Middle East and the US battle for market share. Mr. Morris would like a promise from Dow and other polyethylene makers that their customers in the US won't have to pay more than customers in other parts of the world. So far, he hasn't received such pledges.
A Dow spokeswoman declined to comment on Mr. Morris's suggestion but said the shale boom is "a once-in-a-lifetime chance for the US to regain its competitiveness in manufacturing."
Polyethylene accounts for around 70% of the cost of making a plastic bag; the other main costs include labor and electricity.
Heritage and other US users of polyethylene eventually will get lower prices, once new production capacity is completed in 2016 and beyond, predicts Nick Vafiadis, a senior research director at IHS.
Dow, Royal Dutch Shell and others plan to spend billions of dollars to expand US production of petrochemicals, including polyethylene. Mr. Vafiadis forecasts that US polyethylene capacity will rise more than 30% by 2018 and nearly 60% by 2023.
Most of that increased production will be exported, Mr. Vafiadis believes, but he expects US buyers like Heritage will benefit too.
The US is already a big exporter of polyethylene and other resins, made from oil or natural gas, but has a large trade deficit on plastic products, such as bags and packaging film, made out of those resins. The deficit totaled USD2 billion in this year's first half.
Heritage, based in Carrollton, Texas, has annual sales of more than USD400 million and bills itself as one of the world's largest makers of plastic trash bags used by restaurants, stadiums and other institutional customers. With six plants scattered around the US, Heritage employs about 750 people.
As MRC reported earlier, the ongoing shale revolution will guide the US ethylene industry surge in the near future, growing by more than a third by 2017, according to a new report from business intelligence group GlobalData. Besides, last year, Dow Chemical, Formosa Plastics, Chevron Phillips Chemical, ExxonMobil and Nova Chemicals unveiled their expansion plans in North America on shale gas deposits in the Marcellus Shale Formation in New York, Pennsylvania, Ohio as well as a favourable gas price.
MRC