MOSCOW (MRC) -- Petrobras rebounded from the biggest slump in four months after Brazil’s state-run crude producer forecast increased oil exports and fuel output, said Hydrocarbonprocessing.
After posting an unexpected second-quarter profit decline on higher fuel imports and lower oil exports, Petrobras said in a presentation on Aug. 11 that sales to overseas markets probably would surge 51% in the second half while refinery production would rise 4%. That signals a reduction in losses from selling imported fuel at below global prices.
"There’s a lot of new oil we’ll have in the coming weeks and months," Jose Formigli, who heads exploration and production, said on Aug. 11 on a conference call with analysts. Petrobras, based in Rio de Janeiro, rallied 4.3% to close at 20.14 reais in Sao Paulo after tumbling 4.2% on Aug. 8.
Earnings of the biggest crude producer in ultra-deep waters has disappointed analyst in three of the past four quarters. Crude exports fell 14% in the second quarter from a year ago while an increase in fuel output wasn’t enough to prevent a 56% surge in imports, which are sold at a loss because of price caps. President Dilma Rousseff’s government, which controls Petrobras with a majority of voting shares, has prevented the company from increasing prices enough to erase import losses as it seeks to keep inflation in check.
The fuel subsidy policies have weighed on the shares, which have lost investors 37% in the past four years, making it the worst performer of the 20 most valuable major oil producers. The company’s fuel imports jumped to 407,000 bpd in the quarter, from 261,000 a year earlier. Daily crude exports fell to 308,000 bbl from 359,000.
In today’s presentation, Petrobras said it expects crude exports to average 250,000 bpd in the second half. Output at the company’s pre-salt fields reached a record 546,000 bbl on July 13. Net income fell 20% to 4.96 billion reais ($2.2 billion), or 38 centavos a share, from 6.2 billion reais, or 48 centavos, a year earlier. That trailed the 55-centavo average of 12 analysts’ estimates compiled by Bloomberg.
Petrobras plans to boost domestic crude output 7.5% this year as it connects wells to production equipment in deep waters of the Atlantic. The company’s domestic output rose 2% in July from the prior month to 2.049 million bpd as it increased production at two new platforms. This month it surpassed 2,100 bpd as the company added wells to new platforms, Formigli said. A combination of equipment delivery delays, unplanned maintenance at offshore platforms and faster-than-expected declines at the company’s legacy fields in the Campos Basin has left production little changed since 2010.
As MRC wrote before, Brazilian state-run energy giant, Petroleo Brasileiro SA or Petrobras ( PBR ) has awarded two ultra-deepwater contracts to the project management, engineering and construction company, Technip ( TKPPY ). However, the value of the contracts has not been disclosed.
Headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Petrobras is an integrated energy firm. Petrobras' activities include exploration, exploitation and production of oil from reservoir wells, shale and other rocks as well as refining, processing, trade and transport of oil and oil products, natural gas and other fluid hydrocarbons, in addition to other energy-related activities.
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