Oil demand growth to slow to below 1 Mbpd in 2019

MOSCOW (MRC) -- Global oil demand is expected to grow by less than 1 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2019 as consumption slows, BP Chief Financial Officer Brian Gilvary told Reuters.

Mounting trade tensions between the United States and China and increased signs of a global economic slowdown are also set to weigh on oil refining margins, which BP expects will soften in the fourth quarter of the year, Gilvary said.

Oil demand expanded by 1.3 million bpd in 2018 to nearly 100 million bpd, the International Energy Agency says.

"The macro level is creating huge uncertainty and there is no question that is flowing through to demand," Gilvary said in an interview on the sidelines of the Offshore Europe conference in Aberdeen, Scotland.

Global oil inventories have again risen above their recent average, softening the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, Gilvary added.

"There is a lot of dynamic going on around demand, generally, which started off fairly robust at the start of the year, softened through the mid point. We were seeing a little bit of a pick-up around our results ... but that seems to have softened off again," Gilvary said.

A change in marine fuel standards starting in 2020 has yet to affect refining margins, he added.
MRC

MOSCOW (MRC) -- China’s Unipec is reselling some of the crude oil it imports from the United States to buyers in India and South Korea to avoid tariffs Beijing imposed in its trade war with the US, reported Reuters with reference to sources.

Unipec, the trading arm of Asia’s top refiner China Petroleum & Chemical Corp, or Sinopec (600028.SS), is China’s main buyer of US crude, but its imports have been disrupted after Beijing placed a 5% tariff on US crude imports from Sept. 1.

The sales to South Korea and India are an “unusual move” for Unipec and directly triggered by the tariffs, the sources said.

More Asian refiners are buying US crude because of tighter supply caused by US sanctions on Iran and Venezuela.

Sinopec declined to comment.

To mitigate losses from the tariffs, the company has also sought waivers from Beijing for its U. crude oil imports in September and October, Reuters reported last month.

Unipec, which usually imports 6 million barrels of US crude such as West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Midland crude to China per month, is reducing imports to around 2 million barrels on average each month for September and October when the tariffs start, one of the sources said.

It initially planned to store more of the oil in bonded tanks, but then moved to re-sell the oil to other US oil buyers in Asia, namely India and South Korea, the person said. It was not immediately clear what led to the change.

“Unipec offered US cargoes that they’ve already purchased to South Korean refiners after the US new tariffs kicked in,” another one of the sources said.

The very large crude carrier (VLCC) Dorra was chartered by Unipec and loaded US crude last August and is now heading to the South Korean port of Yeosu, according to ship tracking data on Refinitiv Eikon. The VLCC is expected to discharge in mid-October.

Another VLCC carrying US crude, the Kirkuk, changed its destination from China’s Shandong port to India’s Sikka on Aug. 31, one day before tariffs kicked in, according to Refinitiv shipping data.

A shipping source said the Kirkuk is carrying WTI Midland crude for Reliance Industries Ltd (RELI.NS) and is expected to arrive at Sikka by the end of September or early October.

The seller of the cargo is not immediately known.

Indian refiner Bharat Petroleum Corp’s (BPCL.NS) head of refineries R. Ramachandran told Reuters that a Chinese trader has offered a cargo of US oil to the refiner after Beijing’s latest tariff hike. But he declined to identify the seller.
MRC

MOSCOW (MRC) -- SIBUR and Russian Export Centre (REC) agreed to promote non-commodity exports, as per the company's press release.

At the Eastern Economic Forum, Dmitry Konov, Chairman of the Management Board at SIBUR Holding, and Andrey Slepnev, General Director of the REC, signed a cooperation agreement on providing loans and insurance to support the Company’s major export-related projects. The support will involve interest rate and export transportation subsidies, as well as loans and insurance.

In particular, this will include the export support of the thermoplastic elastomers (SBS polymers) production facility currently under construction with a capacity of 50 ktpa for road construction, roofing and other purposes, plus the future maleic anhydride facility with a capacity of 45 ktpa for healthcare, fuel, packaging, and other industries.

Dmitry Konov, Chairman of the Management Board at SIBUR Holding: "SIBUR is a major contributor to the promotion of Russian non-commodity and non-energy exports. We sell our products to 80 countries for consumer goods, automotive, construction, energy, and chemical applications. Thanks to the Russian Export Centre, Russia's future petrochemicals will receive a much-needed boost for entering the global market."

Maleic anhydride is a feedstock for the production of tetrahydrofuran, tetrahydrophthalic anhydride, films and synthetic fibers, pharmaceuticals, detergents, plasticizers, maleic, succinic, fumaric and malic acids and a number of chemicals for agriculture.

Plasticizers are substances introduced into a polymeric material to give it elasticity and plasticity during processing and operation. In particular, plasticizers are used to produce polyvinyl chloride (PVC). The share of plasticizers used for the production of PVC products is about 80%.

According to MRC's ScanPlast report, demand in the Russian unmixed PVC market increased only in the emulsion segment in January-July 2019, the market of suspension polyvinyl chloride (SPVC) decreased by 7%. The growth in demand for the suspension showed only producers of plastic compounds and plasticized films. Scheduled maintenance works of two Russian producers at once did not result in a significant shortage of SPVC in the market. The growth in imports helped to avoid shortages.

SIBUR is the largest integrated petrochemicals company in Russia. The Group sells its petrochemical products on the Russian and international markets in two business segments: Olefins & Polyolefins (polypropylene, polyethylene, BOPP films, etc.) Plastics, Elastomers & Intermediates (synthetic rubbers, EPS, PET, etc.). SIBUR’s petrochemicals business utilises mainly own feedstock, which is produced by the Midstream segment using by-products purchased from oil and gas companies. More than 26,000 employees working in SIBUR contribute to the success of customers engaged in the chemical, fast moving consumer goods (FMCG), automotive, construction, energy and other industries in 80 countries worldwide. In 2018, SIBUR reported revenue of USD 9.1 billion and adjusted EBITDA of USD 3.3 billion.
MRC

MOSCOW (MRC) -- Ningbo Fund Energy has restarted a polypropylene (PP) unit following an outage, according to Apic-online.

A Polymerupdate source in China informed that the company has resumed operations at the PP unit in end-August, 2019. The unit was shut in mid-August, 2019.

Located at Ningbo in Zhejiang, China, the PP unit has a production capacity of 440,000 mt/year.

As MRC wrote before, Ningbo Fund Energy restarted its PP unit on 14 November 2018, following an unplanned outage. The plant was shut on November 10, 2018 owing to a technical glitch.

Propylene is a feedstock for the production of polypropylene (PP).

According to MRC's ScanPlast report, the estimated PP consumption in the Russian market was 796,120 tonnes in January-July 2019, up by 11% year on year. Shipments of PP block copolymer and homopolymer PP increased.

Ningbo Fund Energy Co. Ltd. manufactures and distributes petrochemical products. The Company produces ethylene glycol, polypropylene, and other products.
MRC

MOSCOW (MRC) -- Celanese Corporation, a global specialty materials company, has increased its September list and off-list selling prices for emulsions polymers for China, as per the company's press release.

The price increase of RMB200/mt is effective for orders shipped on or after 29 August, 2019, or as contracts otherwise allow, and is incremental to any previously announced increases.

As MRC informed previously, the company also raises September list and off-list selling prices for Vinyl Acetate Monomer (VAM) sold in China.

Thus, September VAM prices rose for the Chinese region by RMB400/mt.

According to MRC's DataScope report, July EVA imports to Russia increased by 4% year on year to 3,490 tonnes from 3,350 tonnes in July 2018, and overall imports of this grade of ethylene copolymer into the Russian Federation decreased in January-July 2019 by 14, 3% year on year to 22,440 tonnes (26,170 tonnes in the first seven months of 2018).

Celanese Corporation is a global technology leader in the production of differentiated chemistry solutions and specialty materials used in most major industries and consumer applications. Based in Dallas, Celanese employs approximately 7,700 employees worldwide and had 2018 net sales of USD7.2 billion.
MRC