MOSCOW (MRC) -- Negotiations over April shipments of suspension polyvinyl chloride (SPVC) to the domestic market began in the Russian market on Wednesday. On the back of the weakening rouble exchange rate and upcoming shutdowns for maintenance, domestic producers a major price increase for the next month, according to ICIS-MRC Price report.
High level of capacity utilisation and weak domestic demand did not lead to a surplus of PVC in the Russian market in the first three months of the year. On the contrary, most domestic producers had optimal stocks at their warehouses, and two shutdowns for maintenance are scheduled for April-May. In addition, the current significant weakening of the rouble against the dollar made imports much more expensive than Russian material. On the back of this, producers said they intend to achieve an increase of roubles (Rb) 5,000-10,000/tonne from March in April contract prices.
Despite the "low season", domestic producers managed to balance the domestic market in the first three months. Moreover, since February, some producers have begun to limit their customers in additional supplies of resin. This trend remained in March.
RusVinyl intends to take off-stream its production capacities for a two-week turnaround in the second half of April, the producer has not announced the exact dates of the outage. The plant's annual production capacity is 330,000 tonnes.
Kaustik Volgograd plans to shut its PVC production for maintenance from 12 to 31 May. The plant's annual production capacity is 90,000 tonnes.
This year's next and last turnaround is expected at SayanskKhimPlast's production capacities in June-July.
The March weakening of the rouble against the dollar led to higher prices of finished products from PVC because of imported additives. And many converters had already announced the need to increase April prices for finished products in the middle of this month. Converters said that the very expectations of higher prices of finished products from PVC led to an unprecedented increase in demand for these products in March.
Chinese producers constantly adjusted their export prices for acetylene PVC during March. But the collapse of the rouble against the dollar completely offset the price reduction in foreign markets and virtually deprived Russian consumers of a cheap import alternative.
Most converters understood that to avoid higher contract prices of domestic PVC would not be possible in April partially because of the absence of the alternative, although some consumers do not rule out their refraining from purchasing. But it is worth noting that these are rather rare cases.
Overall, deals for April shipments of Russian resin with K64/67 were negotiated in the range of Rb79,000-82,000/tonne CPT Moscow, including VAT, for quantities of less than 500 tonnes. Resin with K70 was offered by Rb1,000-2,000/tonnes higher.
MRC