Saudi Polymers to permanently shut down PS complex

MOSCOW (MRC) -- National Petrochemical Co. (Petrochem) said that the board of directors of its subsidiary, Saudi Polymers Co., decided to shut down the polystyrene unit and amortize its value, due to difficulties in achieving profits amid the global polystyrene market conditions, said Argaam.

The company expected this process to have an impact of up to SAR 277 million on its financial statements for Q2 2020.

Polystyrene output represented less than 2% of the project’s total production during the last two years, Petrochem added in a bourse statement.

As MRC informed earlier, National Petrochemical Company (Petrochem) started the scheduled maintenance for the Saudi Polymers plant in 2016. The plant was shut for 60 days.

According to MRC's ScanPlast report, April estimated consumption of PS and styrene plastics in Russia was 36,170 tonnes, down by 12% year on year. Russia's estimated consumption of PS and styrene plastics totalled 157,110 tonnes in January-April 2020, down by 5% year on year.

The National Petrochemical Company (NPC), a subsidiary to the Iranian Petroleum Ministry, is owned by the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran. It is responsible for the development and operation of the country's petrochemical sector.
MRC

JXTG gasoline cargo purchase from Singapore signals demand recovery: sources

MOSCOW (MRC) -- Gasoline demand in Japan is showing signs of recovery following the lifting of the state of emergency, prompting the country's largest refiner, JXTG Nippon Oil & Energy, to snap up at least one MR-sized gasoline cargo from Singapore, believed to be the first purchase from overseas in months, reported S&P Global.

JXTG bought one gasoline cargo loading in June in Singapore, a source familiar with the matter said June 17, without giving further details.

A spokeswoman for JXTG Nippon Oil & Energy on June 17 declined to comment on specifics of its product deals.

JXTG's purchase comes on the heels of a larger than expected domestic demand recovery for gasoline in recent weeks following the lifting on May 25 of the state of emergency, which was declared April 7 to curb the spread of the coronavirus pandemic.

Trafigura will use its own ship, the Olaf, for loading a 35,000 mt cargo in June for Kawasaki delivery, shipping brokers said. The Olaf, which is in Singapore, was scheduled to arrive in Kawasaki on June 25, according to S&P Global Platts trade flow software cFlow. Trafigura executives could not be immediately reached for comment.

Currently, JXTG's 235,000 b/d Kawasaki refinery is shut for scheduled maintenance work. The 65,000 b/d No. 3 crude distillation unit at Kawasaki is due to be restarted in late June, with the 170,000 b/d No. 2 CDU restarting in early July.

JXTG last bought at least one spot MR-sized gasoline cargo loading in April from South Korea when Japanese refiners were increasingly cutting runs as the coronavirus pandemic eroded domestic oil demand, as well as the import economics for product from the country.

Together with increased imports by Cosmo Oil, Japan was a net importer of gasoline in April as refiners raised oil product imports from neighboring countries because of refinery run cuts in response to plummeting domestic demand.

Japan imported an average of 68,571 b/d of gasoline in April, more than triple the 19,569 b/d a year earlier, and flipped to being a net importer after exports came to 44,856 b/d, according to the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry data.

At the start of June, however, Japan's crude throughput rose for the first time in seven weeks, with domestic gasoline demand recovering to pre-state of emergency levels.

Japan's estimated gasoline shipments rose 3.8% week on week to 5.23 million barrels in the June 7-13 week, staying above the pre-state of emergency level of 4.72 million barrels over April 5-11, according to calculations by Platts based on Petroleum Association of Japan data.

On June 17, Japan's domestic gasoline rack prices in Chiba, east of Tokyo Bay, stood at Yen 37,300/kiloliter (USD55.21/b), up 33% or Yen 9,200/kiloliter from May 25 when the state of emergency was lifted, Platts data showed.

Japan's demand recovery follows a trend in the wider Asian gasoline market, which has been heavily supported of late by an uptick in driving activity in the region.

The latter has especially seen sustained growth since mid-May, with most Southeast Asian countries such as Malaysia, Vietnam, Cambodia and Myanmar easing lockdowns and reopening their domestic economies.

Even Singapore - the region's oil trading hub - is set to move into its next phase of easing on June 19, after having been in partial lockdown since mid-March.

Against the backdrop of improved demand, supply-side fundamentals have similarly recovered, with China and South Korea having lowered their export volumes in May and June.

"We are seeing a converging demand-supply dynamic now. Supplies are not tight but the amount of replacement barrels is not as much," a Singapore-based trade source said.

"Vietnam is coming out to buy, and without South Korean barrels, they are forced to take the cargoes from alternate sources such as Singapore," a second source said.

As MRC wrote previously, JXTG Holdings Inc, Japan’s biggest oil refiner, plans to spend 1.5 trillion yen (USD14 billion) for the next three years to drive its transformation into a supplier of low-carbon energy and materials.

We remind that JXTG Nippon Oil and Energy brought on-stream its cracker on April 28, 2020, following a turnaround. The cracker was shut for maintenance on February 27, 2020. Located at Kawasaki in Japan, the cracker has an ethylene production capacity of 460,000 mt/year and propylene production capacity of 235,000 mt/year.

Ethylene and propylene are feedstocks for producing polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP).

According to MRC's ScanPlast report, Russia's estimated PE consumption totalled 721,290 tonnes in the first four month of 2020, up by 4% year on year. Low density polyethylene (LDPE) and linear low density polyethylene (LLDPE) shipments grew partially because of the increased capacity utilisation at ZapSibNeftekhim. At the same time, PP shipments to the Russian market totalled 347,440 tonnes in January-April 2020 (calculated by the formula production minus export plus import). Supply exclusively of PP random copolymer increased.
MRC

PKN set to win EU approval to acquire Lotos

MOSCOW (MRC) -- PKN Orlen (Plock, Poland), the country’s largest oil refiner and petrochemicals producer is set to gain EU antitrust approval for its takeover of smaller rival Lotos (Gdansk, Poland) after agreeing some concessions aimed at allaying competition concerns, according to Reuters citing people familiar with the matter.

PKN wants to buy at least 53% of Lotos. EU said it was concerned that the deal may push up prices and reduce competition in Poland, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Lithuania, Latvia and Slovakia.

PKN last month offered to sell Lotos’ stake in a joint venture with BP called Lotos - Air BP Polska (LABP) and also pledged to supply jet fuel to LABP with the aim of creating a viable competitor. The company has since made some minor changes to the package after rivals and customers provided feedback to the European Commission, Reuters says.

The acquisition of Lotos by PKN was initiated in February 2018 by signing a letter of intent with the Polish State Treasury, holding 53.19% of voting rights. In April 2018, a due diligence process was commenced at Lotos to examine its commercial, financial, legal and tax positions ahead of the planned acquisition. In November 2018, a draft application for approval of the concentration was submitted by PKN to the European Commission.

PKN says the aim is to build a strong entity with international potential, which would be an important player on the oil supply market. This is particularly important for the fuel and energy security of supply for Poland, but also for Central and Eastern Europe. The creation of such an entity would also increase its ability to finance large, multi-billion-dollar projects. With the closing of the acquisition, Poland would join the global trend towards building major players on the fuel and energy market, PKN says.

As MRC informed before, in September 2019, Honeywell announced that PKN orlen had licensed the UOP MaxEne process, which can increase production of ethylene and aromatics and improve the flexibility of gasoline production. The project, for the PKN Orlen facility in Plock, Poland, was in the basic engineering stage then.

Ethylene and propylene are feedstocks for producing polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP).

According to MRC's ScanPlast report, Russia's estimated PE consumption totalled 721,290 tonnes in the first four month of 2020, up by 4% year on year. Low density polyethylene (LDPE) and linear low density polyethylene (LLDPE) shipments grew partially because of the increased capacity utilisation at ZapSibNeftekhim. At the same time, PP shipments to the Russian market totalled 347,440 tonnes in January-April 2020 (calculated by the formula production minus export plus import). Supply exclusively of PP random copolymer increased.
MRC

COVID-19 - News digest as of 29.06.2020

1. Dow expects lower EBITDA due to slow recovery in consumer, automotive sectors

MOSCOW (MRC) -- Dow says it expects a USD350-million headwind to second-quarter EBITDA, mostly due to a slower-than-expected demand recovery in the automotive and consumer durables end markets, reported Chemweek. The demand decline will particularly impact Dow’s polyurethanes business, where second-quarter demand is expected to decline by about 25–30% year on year (YOY). Dow had previously expected a 15–20% YOY demand decline for polyurethanes in the second quarter. About two-thirds of the EBITDA impact “can be attributed to the delayed and slower recovery in the automotive, construction, appliance, and furniture sectors,” Dow president and CFO Howard Ungerleider said in a virtual conference presentation this morning. The rest “is being driven by margin pressure due to lower demand, which is negatively impacting pricing power, along with MEG softness,” he added.


MRC

Huntsman updates Q2 outlook, overall on target

MOSCOW (MRC) -- Huntsman (The Woodlands, Texas) has reaffirmed its second-quarter guidance that overall sales will be down 30-35% year-over-year (YOY). However, the company saw sales improve between April and May, and it expects the trend to continue in June, said Chemweek.

Results in the polyurethanes division are expected to be modestly better than forecast, mainly on stronger performance in China and in US construction. Results in the textiles effects division have been weaker than expected, largely owing to prolonged mandatory shutdowns in key textile manufacturing regions, says the company. Huntsman expects adjusted EBITDA in the textiles effects division will likely be slightly negative for the second quarter.

Results in the performance products division are likely to be in-line with the prior guidance, while results in the advanced materials division may fall slightly short because of a deeper-than-expected trough in aerospace, Europe, and India.

As MRC reported previously, in April 2020, to further aid in the fight against the COVID-19 pandemic, LyondellBasell (LBI) donated a key ingredient to Huntsman Corporation to produce hand sanitizer for US first responders.

We remind that, in January 2020, Indorama Ventures Public Company Limited (IVL), a global chemical producer, completed its acquisition of Huntsman’s world-class integrated oxides and derivative businesses, including a large flagship site on the US Gulf Coast (USGC) at Port Neches, as well as Chocolate Bayou and Dayton in Texas, Ankleshwar in India, and Botany in Australia, as per IVL's press release.

The acquisition is a profitable and growing end applications business along with unique products and geographical profile among the crowded olefins space. It has a well-integrated assets base with an extensive infrastructure and future expansion possibilities. The area is adjacent to many USGC feedstock suppliers. The cash value of USD2.0 billion makes it the largest acquisition by Indorama Ventures ever and now our capital employed is nicely spread over plastic, chemicals and fibers. The transaction value translates to an EV/EBITDA of ~5.7x and is expected to add substantial synergies to Indorama’s existing 450kta Ethane/Propane Cracker and our 550kta EO/EG. IVL will now be integrated from Ethane to PET as well as the high-margin EO and PO derivative businesses.

Ethylene and propylene are feedstocks for producing polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP).

According to MRC's ScanPlast report, Russia's estimated PE consumption totalled 721,290 tonnes in the first four month of 2020, up by 4% year on year. Low density polyethylene (LDPE) and linear low density polyethylene (LLDPE) shipments grew partially because of the increased capacity utilisation at ZapSibNeftekhim. At the same time, PP shipments to the Russian market totalled 347,440 tonnes in January-April 2020 (calculated by the formula production minus export plus import). Supply exclusively of PP random copolymer increased.
MRC