Hurricane shutdowns include 29% of US ethylene, 14% of PGP

MOSCOW (MRC) -- Most chemical production facilities in the region between Beaumont-Port Arthur, Texas, and Lake Charles, Louisiana, have shut down in preparation for Hurricane Laura, which was forecast to make landfall near the Texas-Louisiana border Wednesday night or early Thursday, reported Chemweek with reference to a bulletin issued this afternoon by IHS Markit.

Several olefin crackers and associated derivative polymer units have been shut down, as has about 2.5 million b/d of refining capacity.

About 10% of US ethylene capacity was already offline before the hurricane formed, and an additional 29% is being shut down. The units include those of BASF/Total at Port Arthur; CPChem at Port Arthur; Dow at Orange, Texas; ExxonMobil at Beaumont; FPC at Point Comfort, Texas; Indorama at Westlake, Louisiana, and Port Neches, Texas; Ineos at Chocolate Bayou, Texas; LACC at Lake Charles; Motiva at Port Arthur; Sasol at Westlake, Louisiana; and Westlake at Sulphur, Louisiana.

"Ethylene inventories were hovering above 5-years average before this event. So, while supply may be reduced in the short-term given the amount of capacity now offline, with several derivatives plants also shut down, the balance should be manageable," says IHS Markit. "Of course, this will ultimately depend on the severity of the hurricane and post hurricane safety inspections."

A host of associated derivative capacity is also being shut down, including 46% of US high-density polyethylene (HDPE) capacity, 31% of US linear low-density polyethylene (LLDPE) capacity, and 29% of US low density polyethylene (LDPE) capacity.

About 14% of polymer-grade propylene (PGP) and 16% of refinery-grade propylene (RGP) is also being taken offline.

"Propylene inventories have trended downward since beginning of July due to planned/unplanned outages from all sources, and the hurricane impact will further erode inventory to closer to the five-year average levels," says the report.

Downstream, 40% of US polypropylene (PP) capacity is being shut down.

Polyolefin units west of landfall could begin restarting as early as Friday, but rail logistics for shipment that typically go through New Orleans for interchange to East Coast destinations will be a problem, and the ports of both Houston and New Orleans are closed, delaying export, says IHS Markit.

"Both PE and PP inventories were at low inventory levels before the storm, so Hurricane Laura is expected to put further pressure on market supply through the near term," the bulletin notes. "Already one resin producer has declared force majeure for PE and PP products as a result of the hurricane."

About 28% of US ethylene oxide (EO) and 34% of US ethylene glycol (EG) capacity is being shut down. "The likely impact will be less EG available for export to Europe and Asia," says IHS Markit. "We may also see a reduction high-purity EO production while glycol rates are maximized to meet post-storm demand."

Two methanol plants in Beaumont, Texas, operated by OCI Beaumont and Natgasoline, respectively, are believed to be shut down. Units near Houston, Texas, and most derivative producers in the region are believed to remain online.

Ethylene and propylene are feedstocks for producing polyethylene (PE) and PP.

According to MRC's DataScope report, PE imports to Russia dropped in January-June 2020 by 7% year on year to 328,000 tonnes. High density polyethylene (HDPE) accounted for the main decrease in imports. At the same time, PP imports into Russia rose in the first six months of 2020 by 21% year on year to 105,300 tonnes. Propylene homopolymer (homopolymer PP) accounted for the main increase in imports.
MRC

Raizen, Ultrapar among likely bidders for Petrobras refinery

MOSCOW (MRC) -- Brazil’s Petroleo Brasileiro SA is set to receive binding offers for its Presidente Getulio Vargas refinery, with local firms Raizen and Ultrapar Participacoes SA among the likely bidders, reported Reuters with reference to sources familiar with the matter.

The sale is part of a multi-billion plan by the state-controlled oil company, known as Petrobras, to divest assets, with interest from ethanol and fuel distribution company Raizen and conglomerate Ultrapar powered by deep-pocketed foreign investment firms.

Based in the southern Brazilian state of Parana, Repar is Brazil’s fifth-largest refinery, able to process 208,000 barrels per day, representing 9% of the country’s capacity. It supplies the states of Parana, Santa Catarina, Sao Paulo and Mato Grosso, making it a good fit for both Ultra and Raizen, which have fuel distribution businesses in these areas.

Raizen, a joint venture between Royal Dutch Shell Plc (RDSa.L) and Brazilian ethanol producer Cosan SA (CSAN3.SA), is teaming up with US-based private equity firm Global Infrastructure Partners (GIP) to bid for various Petrobras refineries, Reuters reported in January. GIP has more than USD50 billion in assets under management.

Raizen declined to comment. Petrobras didn’t immediately reply to a request for comment.

Ultrapar could look to buy the refinery on its own or in a joint bid with Patria Investimentos Ltda, an investment fund backed by Blackstone Group Inc, which reached a 5% stake in the company in June, according to one source familiar with Ultrapar’s deliberations.

Ultrapar didn’t immediately reply to a request for comment. Patria declined to comment.

Another source said Petrobras was expecting additional offers for Repar, without naming potential bidders.

Indian conglomerate Essar Group had considered a bid in recent months, but it was not clear if the company would follow through, another source said. Essar didn’t immediately reply to a request for comment sent outside regular market hours in India.

The Parana unit is the second of a group of refineries that Petrobras is putting on the block as part of government efforts to bring more competition to the sector. Petrobras is in talks with Abu Dhabi investment firm Mubadala about finalizing an offer for the first refinery put up for sale, Rlam, in the northeastern state of Bahia.

Repar produces mostly gasoline and diesel, up to 70%, combined, as well as asphalt base, aviation fuel and butane gas. The unit is being sold with five storage terminals, one in Parana state and four in Santa Catarina, and 476 kilometers (295 miles) of oil pipelines.

As MRC reported previously, Petrobras may need more than a year to divest its stake in Braskem, said Andrea Almeida, Petrobras CFO, in early July. She said during the companyпїЅs recent webinar that Petrobras plans to give more time for potential investors to make offers for the company"s assets, including for its refineries and stakes at its petrochemical and fuel distribution affiliates. The divestment of Petrobras"s stake in Braskem in 2020 would be desirable but "might not be possible" as the COVID-19 pandemic has changed market conditions, she said. The company plans to close part of its refinery sales in 2021. In December, Roberto Castello Branco, CEO of Petrobras, said that he wants to sell the companyпїЅs stake in Braskem within a year. Petrobras owns 32.15% of Braskem.

We remind that Braskem is no longer pursuing a petrochemical project, which would have included an ethane cracker, in West Virginia. And the company is seeking to sell the land that would have housed the cracker. The project, announced in 2013, had been on Braskem"s back burner for several years.

Ethylene and propylene are feedstocks for producing polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP).

According to MRC"s DataScope report, PE imports to Russia dropped in January-June 2020 by 7% year on year to 328,000 tonnes. High density polyethylene (HDPE) accounted for the main decrease in imports. At the same time, PP imports into Russia rose in the first six months of 2020 by 21% year on year to 105,300 tonnes. Propylene homopolymer (homopolymer PP) accounted for the main increase in imports.

Headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Petrobras is an integrated energy firm. Petrobras" activities include exploration, exploitation and production of oil from reservoir wells, shale and other rocks as well as refining, processing, trade and transport of oil and oil products, natural gas and other fluid hydrocarbons, in addition to other energy-related activities.
MRC

Oil holds near five-month high on US output cuts, virus concern weighs

MOSCOW (MRC) -- Oil held near USD46 a barrel, close to its highest since March, lifted by US producers shutting most of their offshore Gulf of Mexico output ahead of Hurricane Laura and a report showing a drop in US crude inventories, according to Hydrocarbonprocessing.

Renewed worries over the COVID-19 pandemic, which has squeezed demand and sent prices to record lows in April, capped gains after reports this week of patients being re-infected, raising concerns about future immunity.

Brent crude slipped 6 cents, or 0.1%, to USD45.80 a barrel by 1230 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude fell 16 cents, or 0.4%, to USD43.19. Both benchmarks settled at a five-month high on Tuesday.

“Oil traders will be preoccupied with the hurricane today,” said Tamas Varga of broker PVM. “Once the danger passes, demand considerations will come into focus again.”

The US energy industry was preparing on Tuesday for a major hurricane strike. Producers shut 1.56 MMbpd of crude output, representing 84% of the Gulf of Mexico’s offshore production and close to the 90% outage that Hurricane Katrina brought 15 years ago.

“We do see some support on the back of hurricane activity,” Dutch bank ABN AMRO said in a report. “The threat of being infected by the COVID-19 virus threatens a further recovery in oil demand.”

Oil was also boosted on Tuesday by U.S. and Chinese officials reaffirming their commitment to a Phase 1 trade deal. Further support came from American Petroleum Institute figures showing U.S. crude stocks fell more than expected.

A record oil output cut by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies including Russia has helped to lift Brent from April’s 21-year low below USD16.

The US government’s Energy Information Administration report at 1430 GMT will be in focus to see if it confirms the API figures.

As MRC wrote previously, several chemical producers are shutting down in advance of the hurricane, according to air emission event reports submitted to the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality (TCEQ). CPChem intends to shut down its Pasadena plastics complex, where the company has about 1 million metric tons/year (MMt/y) of polyethylene capacity. Motiva Chemicals is shutting down its steam cracker at Port Arthur, which has 0.7 MMt/y of ethylene capacity and 0.2 MMt/y of polymer-grade propylene (PGP) capacity. INEOS is shutting down its Olefins 1 steam cracker at Chocolate Bayou, which has 0.9 MMt/y of ethylene capacity and 0.3 MMt/y of PGP capacity.

Ethylene and propylene are feedstocks for producing polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP).

According to MRC's DataScope report, PE imports to Russia dropped in January-June 2020 by 7% year on year to 328,000 tonnes. High density polyethylene (HDPE) accounted for the main decrease in imports. At the same time, PP imports into Russia rose in the first six months of 2020 by 21% year on year to 105,300 tonnes. Propylene homopolymer (homopolymer PP) accounted for the main increase in imports.
MRC

US oil inventories point to fragile recovery

MOSCOW (MRC) -- US petroleum inventories are gradually becoming less bloated as crude imports remain low and refiners limit fuel production, but the slow pace of the drawdown underscores the fragility of oil market rebalancing, reported Reuters.

Total stocks of crude oil and products fell last week, the fifth decline in six weeks, according to data from the US Energy Information Administration (“Weekly petroleum status report”, EIA, Aug. 19).

With a fall of 5 million barrels last week total stocks are now down by 23 million barrels from the record 2.11 billion barrels at the start of July.

In line with previous weeks, inventory draws were again led by crude (-4 million barrels) and gasoline (-3 million) while distillate fuel oil and jet fuel stocks were unchanged and there were small builds in other products.

Crude stocks are still 4% above the five-year seasonal average, but that is an improvement on the surplus of almost 6% in the middle of July.

Gasoline stocks are 7% above average (but down from 12% in mid-April) and distillate stocks are 24% above average (down from 29% at the start of June).

Fuel consumption remains far below normal, but by restricting crude processing, refiners are gradually working off excess stocks.

The total volume of petroleum products supplied to the domestic market has been 12% below the five-year average over the past four weeks. Refinery crude processing, meanwhile, has been 15% below average.

Despite restricted crude processing, crude stocks have continued to fall, partly owing to the unusually slow rate of imports, especially from Saudi Arabia.

Oil inventories are slowly normalising, but progress has been slower than expected at the end of the second quarter, principally because of the lingering impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on consumption.

In its latest assessment, published on Wednesday, the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee of OPEC+ drew attention to the oil market’s “fragility”, especially on the consumption side.

If consumption continues to recover more slowly than originally projected, OPEC+ will eventually have to revise its production schedule to cut output deeper for longer.

As MRC informed earlier, US crude oil, gasoline and distillate inventories fell last week as refiners ramped up production and demand improved, according to a government report. Refinery utilization rose 1.4 percentage points to 81% of total capacity nationally in the week to Aug. 7, the Energy Information Administration said in a weekly report. On the East Coast, refinery utilization rates climbed to 71.8% of total capacity, the highest since August 2019, according to the data.

Earlier this year, BP said the deadly coronavirus outbreak could cut global oil demand growth by 40 per cent in 2020, putting pressure on Opec producers and Russia to curb supplies to keep prices in check.

And in September 2019, six world's major petrochemical companies in Flanders, Belgium, North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany, and the Netherlands (Trilateral Region) announced the creation of a consortium to jointly investigate how naphtha or gas steam crackers could be operated using renewable electricity instead of fossil fuels. The Cracker of the Future consortium, which includes BASF, Borealis, BP, LyondellBasell, SABIC and Total, aims to produce base chemicals while also significantly reducing carbon emissions. The companies agreed to invest in R&D and knowledge sharing as they assess the possibility of transitioning their base chemical production to renewable electricity.

Ethylene and propylene are feedstocks for producing polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP).

According to MRC's DataScope report, PE imports to Russia dropped in January-June 2020 by 7% year on year to 328,000 tonnes. High density polyethylene (HDPE) accounted for the main decrease in imports. At the same time, PP imports into Russia rose in the first six months of 2020 by 21% year on year to 105,300 tonnes. Propylene homopolymer (homopolymer PP) accounted for the main increase in imports.
MRC

SK Innovation to invest additional USD940 million to build a new EV battery plant in Georgia

MOSCOW (MRC) -- SK Innovation has decided to invest another USD940 million to build a new electric vehicle (EV) battery manufacturing plant in Commerce, Georgia, United States, according to Chemweek.

This new project is in addition to the company’s USD1.67 billion investment to develop two manufacturing facilities in Georgia.

The company says that with an annual capacity of gigawatt-hours (GWh), its first EV battery manufacturing plant in Georgia is under construction and expected to start operating in 2021. The firm will break ground on its second plant in Georgia, which is set to produce 11.7GWh a year, in July this year. When the second plant in Georgia goes into mass production in 2023, SK Innovation will reach an annual global capacity of 71GWh, consolidating its position as one of the largest EV battery producers in the world.

SK Innovation is expanding its battery production base not only in the US, but also in South Korea, Hungary, and China. Mercedes-Benz, Hyundai-Kia Motors, and Ford Motor Company are among SK Innovation’s battery business customers. The company’s goal is to be among the top-three global players in the EV battery market, aiming to produce 100 GWh by 2025.

As MRC reported earlier, SK Global Chemical, a subsidiary of SK Innovation, plans to shut down its production processes for ethylene and ethylene propylene diene monomer (EPDM) within its naphtha cracking center in Ulsan, South Korea. The 200,000-t/y naphtha cracker, which started commercial operation in 1972, and the EPDM unit, which began commercial operation in 1992, will be mothballed from December 2020 to shift the company's focus to high-value added chemicals.

Ethylene and propylene are feedstocks for producing polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP).

According to MRC's DataScope report, PE imports to Russia dropped in January-June 2020 by 7% year on year to 328,000 tonnes. High density polyethylene (HDPE) accounted for the main decrease in imports. At the same time, PP imports into Russia rose in the first six months of 2020 by 21% year on year to 105,300 tonnes. Propylene homopolymer (homopolymer PP) accounted for the main increase in imports.
MRC