Hurricane shifts from offshore US oil fields, heavy rains to dampen fuel demand

MOSCOW (MRC) -- Hurricane Sally crawled offshore along the US Gulf Coast on Wednesday, moving away from oil fields while soaking the region with heavy rains that could dampen fuel demand in the US southeast, reported Reuters.

The hurricane has shut more than a quarter of US offshore Gulf of Mexico oil and gas production and stirred heavy seas that closed ports from Louisiana to Florida. It moved at a snail's pace toward a Wednesday landfall on the coast between Mississippi and Florida.

While Sally's intensity lessened, it remained a Category 1 hurricane with 85 miles per hour (140 kmh) winds. Oil and chemical ports along the Mississippi River were moving to reopen with restrictions and some offshore operators were preparing to return workers to offshore platforms.

Nearly 500,000 bpd of offshore crude oil production and 759 MM cubic feet per day (mmcfd) of natural gas output were shut in the US Gulf of Mexico, according to the US Interior Department.

Crude oil prices were higher in Asian trading on Wednesday, extending the day-earlier's gains on shut-ins and an industry report forecasting a drop in US crude stockpiles. Oil futures rose about 1.5% after trading up more than 2% on Tuesday.

The National Hurricane Center warned Sally could drop 10 to 20 inches (25-50 cm) of rain and up to 30 inches in some spots. It warned of life-threatening flash flooding along the coast between Mississippi and the Florida Panhandle.

Sally's slow crawl will continue after landfall and leave as much as 6 inches of rain through Friday as far inland as Atlanta, said Jim Foerster, chief meteorologist at weather data provider DTN. "It's going to be a catastrophic flooding event" for much of the southeastern United States, he said.

Rain will spread across Alabama, Georgia and South Carolina by Friday, forecasters said, cutting into travel and damping fuel demand in the southeast.

US gasoline stocks rose by 3.8 MM barrels last week, according to data released on Tuesday by trade group American Petroleum Institute, above analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a draw of 160,000 barrels.

As MRC wrote earlier, US Gulf of Mexico producers have shut in roughly 27% of offshore oil and natural gas output ahead of the landfall of Hurricane Sally, which was slowly heading towards the Alabama coast Sept. 15, according to the US Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement. Producers have shut in 497,072 b/d of crude and 760 MMcf/d of gas output, 26.87% and 28.03% of total offshore US Gulf output, respectively. A total of 152 platforms and rigs were evacuated, according to BSEE.

Ethylene and propylene are feedstocks for producing PE and polypropylene (PP).

According to MRC's ScanPlast report, Russia's overall PE production totalled 1,712,400 tonnes in the first seven months of 2020, up by 58% year on year. Linear low density polyethylene (LLDPE) accounted for the greatest increase in the output. At the same time, overall PP production in Russia increased in January-July 2020 by 24% year on year to 1,063,700 tonne. ZapSibNeftekhim accounted for the main increase in the output.
MRC

PDVSA prepares to boost oil blending, imports Iranian diluents

MOSCOW (MRC) -- Venezuela's state-run PDVSA is preparing to recover a portion of the oil output lost in recent months by boosting crude blending operations at its main producing region, the Orinoco Belt, according to sources and a company document, as per Hydrocarbonprocessing.

U.S. sanctions imposed since 2019 have deprived PDVSA of the diluents it imports to produce exportable crude grades. The sanctions have cut off its customer base and the number of tanker owners willing to work with the firm, causing oil exports to fall to their lowest levels since the 1940s and cutting heavily into PDVSA's production.

PDVSA and its joint ventures produced 336,000 bpd of crude at the end of August, internal figures from the company showed. Just a year earlier the nation's output was 933,000 bpd, according to figures reported to OPEC. Venezuela's oil exports are the nation's largest source of foreign revenue.

Two weeks ago, PDVSA restarted blending operations at the joint venture Petrosinovensa, which it shares with China National Petroleum Corp, after months of paralysis. It is now processing 64,500 bpd of diluted crude oil (DCO) to produce about 77,000 bpd of exportable Merey crude, according to the document.

PDVSA finished discharging a 500,000-barrel parcel of Iranian condensate for another joint venture, Petropiar, operated with U.S.-based Chevron Corp, aiming to boost blending operations there, the document also showed. The condensate, to be used for diluting Venezuela's extra heavy crude, arrived last weekend in the nation's main oil port of Jose in an unnamed very large crude carrier (VLCC). Tracking service TankerTrackers.com identified the vessel as Iran-flagged Horse by using satellite images.

PDVSA did not reply to a request for comment. The full content of the shipment from Iran is unknown, but imported heavy naphtha is also expected to be used as diluent by PDVSA to jumpstart output, one of the sources said. PDVSA is struggling to deliver Merey heavy crude to its customers in Asia and Europe due to quality problems, according to company documents.

The issues, which have caused delays in exports, are forcing the firm to replace scheduled cargoes of Merey crude with other grades, including Hamaca and Leona 24, the documents showed. PDVSA plans to switch a portion of its Orinoco Belt crude production, currently entirely focused on Merey, to DCO, the sources said.

The company also expects to continue draining oil inventories as nearly full storage due to a lack of buyers in recent months forced it to slash output. As of Sept. 14, its stocks of Orinoco Belt heavy crudes had declined to 8.15 MM barrels from almost 15 MM barrels three months ago. Three separate vessels carrying Iranian fuel bound for Venezuela - the Forest, Fortune and Faxon - are expected to begin arriving at the end of this month, according to Refinitiv Eikon data, to ease the country's acute shortage of gasoline.

As MRC informed before, Russian state oil company Rosneft's decision to cease operations in Venezuela and sell its assets there to a Russian government-owned company was a "maneuver" made in reaction to collapsing oil prices, a US State Department official said earlier this year.

We remind that Angarsk Polymers Plant, part of Russian oil giant Rosneft, has resumed its low density polyethylene (LDPE) production after an unscheduled shutdown because of a technical issues at the ethylene unit. The plant"s customers said Angarsk Polymers Plant had brought on-stream its LDPE production by 28 August after the forced shutdown due to technical problems at its ethylene production. And the first shipments of polyethylene (PE) to customers began on 31 August. The outage lasted slightly over two weeks and began on 10 August The plant"s annual production capacity is about 75,000 tonnes.

According to MRC's ScanPlast report, June estimated LDPE consumption in Russia grew to 55,260 tonnes from 45,490 tonnes a month earlier. Kazanorgsintez raised its PE output after a spring shutdown for a scheduled turnaround. Russia's estimated LDPE consumption rose to 291,270 tonnes in January-June 2020, up by 5% year on year. Russian producers raised their production, and LDPE imports also increased.

We also remind that Russia's overall PE production totalled 1,712,400 tonnes in the first seven months of 2020, up by 58% year on year. Linear low density polyethylene (LLDPE) accounted for the greatest increase in the output. At the same time, overall PP production in Russia increased in January-July 2020 by 24% year on year to 1,063,700 tonne. ZapSibNeftekhim accounted for the main increase in the output.
MRC

LG Chem raising acrylic acid capacity in Yeosu

MOSCOW (MRC) -- Sulzer has installed acrylic acid crystallization equipment at LG Chem's complex in Yeosu, South Korea, to accommodate higher production volumes of acrylic acid and associated superabsorbent polymers, according to Apic-online.

Sulzer's processes can remove impurities at low process temperatures, while avoiding the use of solvents and eliminating the risk of acrylic acid polymerization that can occur during distillation.

To realize the planned production increase to 160,000 t/y of high purity acrylic acid, Sulzer delivered the equipment onsite in less than 14 months and supported the commissioning and start-up activities.

As MRC wrote previously, LG Chem, a South Korean petrochemical major, reduced its operational rates of its cracker to around 90-95% starting January 2020 due to weaker economic fundamentals. Based in Daesan, South Korea, the cracker is able to produce 1.27 million tons/year of ethylene and 650,000 tons/year of propylene. The company increased capacity utilisation at this cracker to 100% on 10 March, 2020, in order to supply ethylene to Lotte Chemical.

Ethylene and propylene are feedstocks for producing polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP).

According to MRC's DataScope report, PE imports to Russia dropped in January-June 2020 by 7% year on year to 328,000 tonnes. High density polyethylene (HDPE) accounted for the main decrease in imports. At the same time, PP imports into Russia rose in the first six months of 2020 by 21% year on year to 105,300 tonnes. Propylene homopolymer (homopolymer PP) accounted for the main increase in imports.

LG Chem Ltd., often referred to as LG Chemical, is the largest Korean chemical company and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea. According to ICIS report, it is 15th biggest chemical company in the world in 2011. It has eight domestic factories and global network of 29 business locations in 15 countries. LG Chem is a manufacturer, supplier, and exporter of petrochemical goods, IT&E Materials and Energy Solutions.
MRC

Crude rises in Asia trade as upbeat US, China data lifts sentiment

MOSCOW (MRC) -- Crude oil futures rose during mid-morning trade in Asia Sept. 16 as sentiment was boosted by better-than-expected economic data from the US and China, said S&P Global.

At 10:41 am Singapore time (0300 GMT), ICE Brent November crude futures were up 48 cents/b (1.18%) from the Sept. 16 settle at USD41.01/b, while the NYMEX October light sweet crude contract was 54 cents/b (1.41%) higher at USD38.82/b.

"A string of better-than-expected economic data from the world's two largest oil consumers, the US and China, fanned optimism that the economic recovery was outpacing forecasts, triggering a bump in the current slump, which sent oil prices to their highest level in over a week," Stephen Innes, chief global markets strategist at AxiCorp, said in a Sept. 16 note.

Oil prices had moved higher overnight following a larger than expected decline in crude oil stocks in the US. Data from American Petroleum Institute showed US crude stocks plunged 9.5 million barrels in the week ended Sept. 11, almost five times larger than the 1.8 million-barrel decline expected by analysts surveyed by S&P Global on Sept. 14.

In addition, China's industrial production and retail sales surpassed analyst expectations, rising 5.6% and 0.5% respectively year on year in August, according to data released by the country's National Bureau of Statistics Sept. 15. "With the economic engines in the industrial heartlands in the US and China starting to fire on all cylinders, its temporarily offsetting the slump in crude prices that began in the closing week of the US driving season," Innes said.

Oil prices rose even as the International Energy Agency revised lower its 2020 oil demand outlook Sept. 15, a day after OPEC released a similar downward revision. The IEA now expects global oil demand to average 91.7 million b/d in 2020, down 300,000 b/d from its earlier forecast, and equating to a contraction of 8.4 million b/d on the year.

The agency cited renewed concerns around the coronavirus pandemic, pointing to the approaching winter in the Northern Hemisphere as being "uncharted territory" for the virus and posing huge challenges in key demand hubs. IEA sees oil demand climbing 5.5 million b/d in 2021 to around 97.1 million b/d. Elsewhere, the OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee is set to meet Sept. 17, where a review is expected on production cut compliance.

Ethylene and propylene are feedstocks for producing PE and polypropylene (PP).

According to MRC's ScanPlast report, Russia's overall PE production totalled 1,712,400 tonnes in the first seven months of 2020, up by 58% year on year. Linear low density polyethylene (LLDPE) accounted for the greatest increase in the output. At the same time, overall PP production in Russia increased in January-July 2020 by 24% year on year to 1,063,700 tonne. ZapSibNeftekhim accounted for the main increase in the output.
MRC

More than 25% of US Gulf oil, gas production offline ahead of Hurricane Sally

MOSCOW (MRC) -- US Gulf of Mexico producers have shut in roughly 27% of offshore oil and natural gas output ahead of the landfall of Hurricane Sally, which was slowly heading towards the Alabama coast Sept. 15, according to the US Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement, as per S&P Global.

Producers have shut in 497,072 b/d of crude and 760 MMcf/d of gas output, 26.87% and 28.03% of total offshore US Gulf output, respectively. A total of 152 platforms and rigs were evacuated, according to BSEE.

Shell said Sept. 15 it shut in production at its Appomattox platform, while also curtailing oil volumes at its large Olympus, Mars and Ursa facilities. Chevron said it has shuttered production at its Blind Faith and Petronius platforms in the deepwater US Gulf. Murphy confirmed it evacuated multiple platforms and took production volumes offline, but a spokeswoman declined to specify which facilities were impacted.

In addition, BP has evacuated non-essential personnel from its Na Kika and Thunderhorse platforms.

Sally, which is expected to make landfall on the Mississippi-Alabama border early Sept. 16, is not expected to impact oil operations as heavily as Hurricane Laura did at the end of August. Laura managed to shutter nearly 85% of Gulf oil production — more than 1.5 million b/d — and 2.3 million b/d of refining capacity.

Phillips 66's 255,600 b/d Alliance refinery in Belle Chasse, Louisiana, remains shut in advance of Sally, although that region is no longer expected to feel much of an impact.

Chevron spokesman Sean Comey said the company's 356,400 b/d Pascagoula Refinery in Mississippi is still operating.

Shell said its Mobile refinery in Alabama plans to continue operating during Sally. However, only essential personnel will remain onsite.

Phillips 66 spokeswoman Melissa Ory said the company's 260,000 b/d Lake Charles refinery, which was shut ahead of Laura, could start up in two weeks after it has reliable electricity and operate while repairs are being made, which are expected to take several months. Electricity provider Entergy, which is rebuilding the destroyed transmission lines to the refinery and other facilities, said it hopes to restore power by the end of September.

Citgo Petroleum's 418,000 b/d Lake Charles refinery also was damaged by Laura and remains offline. All told, that is close to 1 million b/d of crude refining capacity currently offline in Louisiana.

The refinery outages have boosted refined products prices on the US Gulf Coast, with diesel price differentials reaching highs last seen more than six months ago.

Chevron also has shut its Empire and Fourchon terminals and related pipeline systems, the company said. The Louisiana Offshore Oil Port also suspended operations Sept. 13 at its marine terminal.

Likewise, the Cameron Highway Oil Pipeline System, known as CHOPS, has remained closed since service was disrupted by Laura. Flows on the system, which normally deliver to end points on the Texas Gulf Coast, are being redirected to the Poseidon or Auger pipelines for transportation to locations onshore in Louisiana, a Genesis Energy representative said.

CHOPS, the representative said, appears unlikely to resume normal operations before Oct. 1. An increase in Gulf of Mexico produced sour crude flows to the Louisiana area would provide more competition for Mars crude, which also delivers to end points in Louisiana, thus applying pressure on differentials for the grade.

Ethylene and propylene are feedstocks for producing PE and polypropylene (PP).

According to MRC's ScanPlast report, Russia's overall PE production totalled 1,712,400 tonnes in the first seven months of 2020, up by 58% year on year. Linear low density polyethylene (LLDPE) accounted for the greatest increase in the output. At the same time, overall PP production in Russia increased in January-July 2020 by 24% year on year to 1,063,700 tonne. ZapSibNeftekhim accounted for the main increase in the output.
MRC