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US jet fuel consumption during the week of Thanksgiving was about half of last year figure

December 21/2020

MOSCOW (MRC) -- For the week of Thanksgiving 2020, estimated consumption of major transportation fuels (motor gasoline, distillate, and jet fuel) was 11% lower than during Thanksgiving week 2019, reported Hydrocarbonprocessing.

About half as much jet fuel was consumed during the week of Thanksgiving as last year, measured using product supplied as a proxy for consumption: 1.1 million barrels per day (b/d) in 2020 compared with 2.0 million b/d in 2019, according to estimates in the US Energy Information Administrations (EIA) Weekly Petroleum Status Report.

Using flight-level data provided by Cirium on commercial passenger flights (which accounted for approximately three-quarters of overall jet fuel consumption in 2019), EIA estimates that about 108,000 flights took off from US airports during the week of Thanksgiving in 2020, or 37% fewer than the 170,000 flights that departed during Thanksgiving week in 2019. EIA estimates that these flights consumed 45% less fuel than the flights during Thanksgiving week in 2020 compared with 2019.

estimated jet fuel consumption by commercial passenger jets departing US airports

EIAs analysis, published in This Week in Petroleum, shows that states such as New York, Massachusetts, and California may have had the largest percentage declines (at least 60%) in commercial jet fuel consumption between the two Thanksgiving weeks. However, two states - Montana and Wyoming - may have had increases in commercial jet fuel consumption.

State-level variation in flight volume and implied fuel consumption could result from several factors: ifferences in state quarantine policies and travel restrictions, the relative severity of COVID-19 in that state, the share of the states population that was born or naturalized there (with higher shares associated with less travel during holidays),
the share of each states international air travel (which has generally been more affected than domestic travel).

As MRC informed before, slumping fuel consumption during the pandemic is accelerating the long-term shift of refining capacity from North America and Europe to Asia, and from older, smaller refineries to modern, higher-capacity mega-refineries. The result is a wave of closures, often centering on refineries that only narrowly survived the previous closure wave in the years after the recession in 2008/09.

We remind that PetroChina has nearly doubled the amount of Russian crude being processed at its refinery in Dalian, the company's biggest, since January 2018, as a new supply agreement had come into effect. The Dalian Petrochemical Corp, located in the northeast port city of Dalian, was expected to process 13 million tonnes, or 260,000 bpd of Russian pipeline crude in 2018, up by about 85 to 90 percent from the previous year's level. Dalian has the capacity to process about 410,000 bpd of crude. The increase follows an agreement worked out between the Russian and Chinese governments under which Russia's top oil producer Rosneft was to supply 30 million tonnes of ESPO Blend crude to PetroChina in 2018, or about 600,000 bpd. That would have represented an increase of 50 percent over 2017 volumes.

Ethylene and propylene are feedstocks for producing PE and polypropylene (PP).

According to MRC's ScanPlast report, Russia's estimated PE consumption totalled 1,760,950 tonnes in the first ten months of 2020, up by 3% year on year. Only high density polyethylene (HDPE) and linear low density polyethylene (LLDPE) shipments increased. At the same time, PP shipments to the Russian market reached 978,870 tonnes in  January-October 2020 (calculated using the formula: production minus exports plus imports minus producers' inventories as of 1 January, 2020). Supply of exclusively of PP random copolymer increased.


mrcplast.com
Author:Margaret Volkova
Tags:Asia, PP, PE, LLDPE, crude and gaz condensate, PP random copolymer, propylene, HDPE, ethylene, petrochemistry, PetroChina, China, Russia, USA.
Category:General News
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