Crude oil futures plummet on concerns over new coronavirus strain

MOSCOW (MRC) -- Crude oil prices plummeted during the mid-morning trade in Asia Dec. 21, as concerns over a new highly infectious strain of the coronavirus raised fears of tightening lockdown and travel restrictions, reported S&P Global.

At 11:35 am Singapore time (0335 GMT), the ICE Brent February contract fell USD1.70/b (3.25%) from the Dec. 18 settle to USD50.26/b, while the February NYMEX light sweet crude contract was down USD1.54/b (3.13%) at $47.70/b. The fall in these markers has reversed an upward trend that saw both contracts rise by 4.58% and 5.33% on Dec. 18 to settle at USD52.26/b and USD49.25/b, respectively.

Market analysts attributed the steep fall in oil prices in the morning to the emergence of a highly infectious variant of coronavirus called B.1.1.7. The strain emerged in the UK, with the country enacting tougher restrictions to cope with the new strain.

"The new strain of the COVID-19 virus is worrying for the market, as it is believed to be more infectious, and could lead to a host of new travel restrictions, sapping oil demand," Pan Jingyi, market analyst at IG told S&P Global Platts on Dec. 21.

Several European countries, including France, Germany, the Netherlands, Austria and Italy and Belgium have announced travel restrictions pertaining to the UK in order to curb the spread of the virus, according to media reports.

Warren Patterson, head of commodities strategy at ING, told Platts on Dec. 21: "Over the past few weeks we have seen quite a bit of speculative money moving into the market, and the fear of more lockdowns and travel restrictions that this new virus strain has raised is causing some of that speculative money to close their positions."

Meanwhile, amid the coronavirus gloom, reports that a deal over a US stimulus bill worth nearly USD900 billion has been reached among US lawmakers failed to reassure the market, even though such stimulus has long been considered essential to US economic recovery and oil demand.

"Congress needs to do much more, especially with the UK lockdown headlines playing a major factor worrying investors which country is next to get hit with the mutant strain," said Stephen Innes, chief global market strategist at Axi in a Dec. 21 note.

As MRC informed previously, global oil demand may have already peaked, according to BP's latest long-term energy outlook, as the COVID-19 pandemic kicks the world economy onto a weaker growth trajectory and accelerates the shift to cleaner fuels.

Earlier this year, BP said the deadly coronavirus outbreak could cut global oil demand growth by 40% in 2020, putting pressure on Opec producers and Russia to curb supplies to keep prices in check.

And in September 2019, six world's major petrochemical companies in Flanders, Belgium, North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany, and the Netherlands (Trilateral Region) announced the creation of a consortium to jointly investigate how naphtha or gas steam crackers could be operated using renewable electricity instead of fossil fuels. The Cracker of the Future consortium, which includes BASF, Borealis, BP, LyondellBasell, SABIC and Total, aims to produce base chemicals while also significantly reducing carbon emissions. The companies agreed to invest in R&D and knowledge sharing as they assess the possibility of transitioning their base chemical production to renewable electricity.

Ethylene and propylene are feedstocks for producing polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP).

According to MRC's ScanPlast report, Russia's estimated PE consumption totalled 1,760,950 tonnes in the first ten months of 2020, up by 3% year on year. Only high density polyethylene (HDPE) and linear low density polyethylene (LLDPE) shipments increased. At the same time, PP shipments to the Russian market reached 978,870 tonnes in January-October 2020 (calculated using the formula: production minus exports plus imports minus producers' inventories as of 1 January, 2020). Supply of exclusively of PP random copolymer increased.
MRC

Neste supplies DHL Express with sustainable aviation fuel at SFO

MOSCOW (MRC) -- Neste, the world’s leading provider of renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) has signed an agreement to supply SAF to DHL Express, the express service arm of Deutsche Post DHL Group, world’s leading mail and logistics company, said the company.

The Group is renowned as a pioneer of green logistics, utilising its expertise to make the logistics of its customers greener and more sustainable. Through this agreement Neste has commenced supply of sustainable aviation fuel with immediate effect to DHL Express at San Francisco International Airport (SFO).

Earlier this year Neste established a continuous supply of sustainable aviation fuel to SFO. Neste MY Sustainable Aviation FuelTM has been made available for all commercial, cargo, business and private aviation operators at SFO, with commitments in place to use SAF from major commercial and business airlines. This deal will see DHL Express become the first cargo operator to use Neste MY Sustainable Aviation Fuel on flights departing from SFO and will enable them to contribute to their climate protection target to reduce all logistics-related emissions to zero by the year 2050.

"DHL has set the goal of achieving zero logistics-related emissions by 2050. To reach this ambitious target and support our customers with their own vision of a greener supply chain in the future, we are exploring innovative solutions across every part of our network. Sustainable aviation fuels have great potential to further increase the environmental efficiency of our air network and we are therefore very excited to begin this collaboration with Neste out of San Francisco International Airport,” said Mike Parra, CEO, DHL Express Americas.

"We are committed to supporting our customers to meet their climate and carbon neutrality targets and reduce greenhouse gas emissions with our sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). Despite the difficult current situation, the aviation industry is showing increased commitment to investing in sustainable aviation fuel,” says Jonathan Wood, Vice President, Renewable Aviation at Neste. “The cargo aviation sector is essential for global business, generating growth and facilitating economic recovery. As the transportation of goods is an essential part of a strong economy, we need solutions which both enable its growth and reduce emissions immediately. We are proud to be now collaborating with DHL Express and support them in their highly ambitious emission reduction targets."

As MRC reported earlier, in March 2020, Borealis started to produce polypropylene (PP) based on Neste-produced renewable feedstock in its production facilities in Kallo and Beringen, Belgium. This marked the first time that Borealis has replaced fossil fuel-based feedstock in its large-scale commercial production of PP. The Belgian plants were recently awarded by the International Sustainability and Carbon Certification (ISCC) organization with ISCC Plus certification for its renewable PP.

According to MRC's ScanPlast report, Russia's estimated PE consumption totalled 1,760,950 tonnes in the first ten months of 2020, up by 3% year on year. Only high density polyethylene (HDPE) and linear low density polyethylene (LLDPE) shipments increased. At the same time, PP shipments to the Russian market reached 978,870 tonnes in January-October 2020 (calculated using the formula: production minus exports plus imports minus producers' inventories as of 1 January, 2020). Supply of exclusively of PP random copolymer increased.
MRC

Shell agree to sell stake in QCLNG

MOSCOW (MRC) -- Shell has agreed to sell a 26.25% stake in Australia's Queensland Curtis LNG (QCLNG) Common Facilities to US-based fund manager Global Infrastructure Partners for USD2.5bn, said the company.

This decision is consistent with Shell’s strategy of selling non-core assets in order to further high-grade and simplify Shell’s portfolio. The sale will contribute to Shell’s expected divestment proceeds, without impact on people or the operations of the QCLNG venture, and aligns Shell’s interest in the Common Facilities with its 73.75% interest in the overall QCLNG venture.

Due to the advantages it offers as a complement to renewable energy and as the cleanest burning hydrocarbon, natural gas is a core component of Shell’s strategy to provide more and cleaner energy solutions. Global LNG demand is expected to outpace total demand for energy and the QCLNG venture is crucial in helping Shell meet the world’s growing energy needs.

The transaction is subject to regulatory approval in Australia and customary conditions. It is expected to complete in the first half of 2021.

As MRC informed previously, Royal Dutch Shell plc. said in November that its petrochemical complex of several billion dollars in Western Pennsylvania is about 70% complete and in the process to enter service in the early 2020s. The plant's costs are estimated to be USD6-USD10 billion, where ethane will be transformed into plastic feedstock. The facility is equipped to produce 1.5 million metric tons per year (mmty) of ethylene and 1.6 mmty of polyethylene (PE), two important constituents of plastics.

Ethylene and propylene are feedstocks for producing PE and polypropylene (PP).

According to MRC"s ScanPlast report, Russia's estimated PE consumption totalled 1,760,950 tonnes in the first ten months of 2020, up by 3% year on year. Only high density polyethylene (HDPE) and linear low density polyethylene (LLDPE) shipments increased. At the same time, PP shipments to the Russian market reached 978,870 tonnes in January-October 2020 (calculated using the formula: production minus exports plus imports minus producers' inventories as of 1 January, 2020). Supply of exclusively of PP random copolymer increased.

Royal Dutch Shell plc is an Anglo-Dutch multinational oil and gas company headquartered in The Hague, Netherlands and with its registered office in London, United Kingdom. It is the biggest company in the world in terms of revenue and one of the six oil and gas "supermajors". Shell is vertically integrated and is active in every area of the oil and gas industry, including exploration and production, refining, distribution and marketing, petrochemicals, power generation and trading.

MRC

Output of chemical products in Russia grew by 6.6% in Jan-Nov 2020

MOSCOW (MRC) -- Russia's output of chemical products rose in November 2020 by 9.5% year on year. At the same time, production of basic chemicals increased in the first eleven months of 2020 by 6.6% year on year, according to Rosstat's data.

According to the Federal State Statistics Service of the Russian Federation, polymers in primary form accounted for the greatest increase in the January-November 2020 output.

November production of benzene grew to 120,000 tonnes from 106,000 tonnes a month earlier due to higher capacity utilisation of several producers. Overall output of this product reached 1,236,600 tonnes over the stated period, down by 2.2% year on year.

November production of sodium hydroxide (caustic soda) were 111,000 tonnes (100% of the basic substance) versus 108,000 tonnes a month earlier. Overall output of caustic soda totalled 1,165,600 tonnes in the first eleven months of 2020, down by 1.3% year on year.

2,106,000 tonnes of mineral fertilizers (in terms of 100% nutrients) were produced in November versus 2,014,000 tonnes a month earlier. Overall, Russian plants produced slightly over 22,600,000 tonnes of fertilizers in January-November 2020, up by 3.9% year on year.

Last month's production of polymers in primary form rose to 896,000 tonnes from 852,000 tonnes in October. Overall output of polymers in primary form totalled 9,240,000 tonnes over the stated period, up by 17.1% year on year.
MRC

Ukrainian PE imports down by 1% in Jan-Nov 2020

MOSCOW (MRC) -- Overall polyethylene (PE) imports into the Ukrainian market exceeded 245,000 tonnes in the first eleven months of 2020, down by 1% year on year. Imports of all grades of ethylene polymers decreased, with high density polyethylene (HDPE) being the exception, according to MRC's DataScope report.

Last month's PE imports to Ukraine were slightly less than 20,200 tonnes versus 20,700 tonnes in October, local companies reduced their purchases of low density polyethylene (LDPE). Thus, overall PE imports exceeded 245,000 tonnes in January-November 2020, compared to 248,400 tonnes a year earlier. Imports of all grades of ethylene polymers decreased, with the exception for HDPE, demand for which grew in some consumption sectors.

The structure of PE imports by grades looked the following way over the stated period.


Last month's HDPE imports were 7,700 tonnes, compared to 7,500 tonnes in October, Ukrainian companies increased their purchases of pipe grade PE. Overall HDPE imports totalled 88,600 tonnes in the first eleven months of 2020 versus 87,600 tonnes a year earlier.

November LDPE imports were 5,900 tonnes versus 6,400 tonnes a month earlier. Overall LDPE imports reached 73,200 tonnes over the stated period, compared to 73,800 tonnes a year earlier.

Last month's imports of linear low density polyethylene (LLDPE) were 5,600 tonnes, compared to 5,900 tonnes in October, shipments of Middle Eastern film grae LLDPE decreased. Overall LLDPE imports reached 70,800 tonnes in January-November 2020, compared to 75,600 tonnes a year earlier.

Imports of other PE grades, including ethylene-vinyl-acetate (EVA), totalled 12,500 tonnes over the stated period, compared to 11,400 tonnes a year earlier.

MRC