MOSCOW (MRC) -- North Sea Brent crude oil spot prices averaged $69 per barrel (b) in January, an increase of USD5/b from the December level, as per Hydrocarbonprocessing.
Monthly average Brent prices have increased for seven consecutive months, and, on January 11, spot prices moved higher than USD70/b for the first time since December 2014. EIA forecasts Brent spot prices will average about USD62/b in both 2018 and 2019 compared with an average of USD54/b in 2017.
EIA expects West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices to average USD4/b lower than Brent prices in both 2018 and 2019. NYMEX WTI contract values for May 2018 delivery traded during the five-day period ending February 1, 2018, suggest a range of USD55/b to USD77/b encompasses the market expectation for May 2018 WTI prices at the 95% confidence level.
EIA estimates that U.S. crude oil production averaged 10.2 million barrels per day (b/d) in January, up 100,000 b/d from the December level. EIA estimates that total U.S. crude oil production averaged 9.3 million b/d in 2017 and will average 10.6 million b/d in 2018, which would mark the highest annual average U.S. crude oil production level, surpassing the previous record of 9.6 million b/d set in 1970. EIA forecasts that 2019 crude oil production will average 11.2 million b/d.
EIA estimates that global petroleum and other liquid fuels inventories declined by 0.5 million b/d in 2017. In this forecast, global inventories grow by about 0.2 million b/d in both 2018 and 2019.
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