MOSCOW (MRC) -- Oil rose to USD75 a barrel, rebounding from steep losses a day earlier with support coming from a tight market in the short term after OPEC+ talks collapsed this week without a deal to boost supply, said Reuters.
Underlining tightening conditions, U.S. crude inventories are expected to fall this week. The failure of OPEC+ talks on Monday means no output rise has been agreed, while U.S. oil shale firms are hesitating whether to pump more. "The OPEC+ deadlock continues, putting the market in a position of risking a sizeable under-supply in August," said Louise Dickson of Rystad Energy. "U.S. shale producers also seem to be reluctant to invest."
Brent crude was up 44 cents, or 0.6%, at USD74.97 a barrel by 1325 GMT, after slumping more than 3% on Tuesday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate gained 48 cents, or 0.7%, to USD73.85, having declined by more than 2% on Tuesday.
OPEC+, which includes the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, Russia and other producers, abandoned talks on Monday after three days of meetings failed to close divisions between Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. "With no agreement, the production and export levels apparently remain unchanged according to the overall framework, which creates the impression that the group does not shy away from over-tightening the market," said Norbert Ruecker of Swiss bank Julius Baer.
The White House said on Tuesday it was encouraged by the ongoing conversation to reach an agreement. Disagreement within OPEC+ could still prompt its members to open the taps. Concern about that scenario had led to Brent falling on Tuesday from a high of USD77.84, the highest since 2018, and U.S. crude sliding from USD76.98, the highest since 2014.
But Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman dampened concerns of a price war in an interview with CNBC on Tuesday. Away from OPEC+, the first of this week's two reports on U.S. inventories, from the American Petroleum Institute, is out at 2030 GMT. Analysts expect crude stocks to fall by 3.9 million barrels.
As MRC informed earlier, in 2020, total consumption of fossil fuels in the United States, including petroleum, natural gas, and coal, fell to 72.9 quadrillion British thermal units (Btu), down 9% from 2019 and the lowest level since 1991, according to US Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Monthly Energy Review.
We remind that most units were shut on Sunday night and Monday morning (15-16 February) at Marathon Petroleum Corp's 585,000 barrel-per-day Galveston Bay Refinery in Texas City, Texas, as temperatures plunged due to a Arctic cold front reaching the Gulf Coast. They resumed operations in the first half of March.
Ethylene and propylene are the main feedstocks for the production of polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP), respectively.
According to MRC's ScanPlast report, Russia's estimated PE consumption totalled 744,130 tonnes in the first four month of 2021, up by 4% year on year. Shipments of all PE grades increased. At the same time, PP deliveries to the Russian market were 523,900 tonnes in January-April 2021, up by 55% year on year. Supply of homopolymer PP and PP block copolymers increased, whereas shipments of PP random copolymers decreased.
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