(ame info) -- With the development of new shale gas resources, the US petrochemical industry is announcing significant expansions of US petrochemical capacity, while Middle Eastern producers are at a stage in their development where pure ethane plays are difficult to secure and the industry is moving towards heavier feedstocks. However, with the development of new shale gas resources in the United States of America, the region needs to prepare to capitalise on potential opportunities in its own petrochemical sector.
Mr. Andjelich, Vice President, Business Development, Middle East from Chevron Phillips Chemical Company, reported that announcements have been made over the past year regarding the high probability that several (four to six) new crackers will be constructed in the US based on feed supply from the growth of shale gas production. If these announcements are built, the US would become a larger exporter of ethylene and ethylene derivatives.
According to Dr Christian Gunther, Partner at McKinsey and Company, the consultancy, this is unlikely to affect Middle East aspirations of growth in a major way - the US is estimated to add around 9 - 11 million tonnes of ethylene capacity within the next 10 years, which can be absorbed by the forecasted global demand growth of around 50 million tonnes and still leave space for other players. Moreover, prices will remain set by liquids-based producers, as significant quantities of liquids-based ethylene will be needed to meet global demand.
The real challenge for the petrochemical industry in the Middle East will likely be the availability of advantageously priced ethane. From a country perspective, Dr Gunther believes that the right feedstock allocation decisions by regional governments as well as enhanced education and capability building are required. At the same time, chemical companies will have to accelerate their move towards functional excellence in operations, capex, procurement and marketing and explore opportunities beyond their traditional products to ensure the Middle East remains globally competitive.
MRC