BASF is expecting to undershoot its earnings and sales guidance for 2023 as the squeeze to margins outpaced cost reduction savings, although investors are taking some comfort from a stronger cashflow than in 2022, according to sources, said the company.
The Germany-based chemicals major expects operating income before special items of around €3.81bn for the year, compared to its forecast range of €4bn-4.4bn and consensus analyst estimates of €3.9bn.
A weak December may be a factor in missing that €3.9bn target, according to Konstantin Wiechert, a chemicals analyst at Baader Bank.
“According to the company before knowing the December figures it still looked like [EBIT pre-specials] guidance of ~€3.9bn could be achieved, so it is likely one month that really was below expectations,” he said.
BASF had already cut back financial performance guidance for the year, cutting projections for operating income before special items to €4bn-4.4bn from earlier projections of €4.8bn-5.4bn in July.
Full-year sales are likely to come in around the €68.9bn mark, the company added, compared to revised estimates of €73bn-76bn, or initial forecasts of €84bn-87bn.
Sales-related low margins are the cause for the company likely undershooting its guidance, with chemicals division operating income pre-specials falling “considerably short” of analysts estimates, BASF said.
The chemicals division is the key cause for below-expectations profitability during the year, with smaller drops reported for surface technologies and nutrition and case division earnings.
We remind, BASF HERAEUS Metal Resource (BHMR) JV has started up operations at a new facility in Pinghu, China to recover precious metals from spent automotive catalysts. The facility has a recycling capacity of about 10,000 tonnes/year of auto catalysts. It employs more than 100 people and involved a mid-double digit million euro investment.
mrchub.com